Spread 01

What Must Be True?

Reading

Assumptions are things believed but not verified. They often sit underneath a plan, making it feel stronger than it really is.

Key points

  • An assumption is not automatically wrong, but it should be named.
  • Good updates separate what is known from what is being assumed.
  • The strongest question is: what must be true for this plan to work?

Examples

Real estate example

A busy road means customer traffic. That assumes visibility becomes visits, and visits become qualified buyers.

Operations example

A shorter form will increase completion. That assumes the form length is the main reason people quit.

Exercises

shortAnswer

Write one assumption inside this statement: traffic at this location means the store will perform well.

25-80 words
LogicRisk